TWI Global Business (Div. Of Teruko Weinberg Inc.)
table of contents:
“Weak waist” diplomacy or? -Mexico President’s reaction to the blockade of the Trump border-
President Trump, who is struggling to deal with the influx of refugees, mainly from Central American countries, announced on March 29 that he would close the border with Mexico the following week, raising concerns not only in Mexico but also in the United States. It spread rapidly. Since the definition of “border blockade” was not clarified, it called for speculation as to whether it applies only to “movement of people” such as immigrants, commuters, and travelers, or whether it also covers logistics between the two countries.
As criticisms from the U.S. parliament, local governments, and industry groups continued, and there were concerns about the impact on the supply chain within the Trump administration, President Trump said (although the actual situation is unknown) that the Mexican government is the country. “Gives the Mexican government a year’s grace because it has tightened crackdowns on refugees near the southern border. If the government does not solve the problem of illegal immigration and drug smuggling, an additional 25% tariff on car imports For the time being, he revealed his attitude of holding a spear. On the other hand, it has been reported that customs officers have been reassigned to refugee measures, and that cargo trucks continue to be congested due to a shortage of staff. The mysterious part of the above series of turmoil is the movement of the Mexican government. President Obrador does not hear any criticisms of President Trump’s unilateral behavior or threats. His appearance, which has repeatedly criticized President Trump during the 2018 election campaign, is completely hidden. Of course, his top priority is not diplomacy but domestic affairs. In diplomacy, the stance is basically non-intervention in domestic affairs. For example, President Obrador continues to emphasize dialogue amid growing criticism of the American states against the Maduro administration in Venezuela.
The Trump administration has ordered refugees to stay on the Mexican side before the meeting with the Immigration Department, but President Obrador has been generous with giving jobs to the stranded refugees. increase. Even though Mexico’s unemployment rate is low, it’s easy to imagine that continuing to give jobs to the rapidly increasing number of refugees will increase dissatisfaction among citizens in border cities such as Tijuana. In addition, Mexico has traditionally been based on a foreign policy that avoids conflicts while maintaining independence with the United States, but since the institutional revolutionary party (PRI) system of the long-term government collapsed after 2000, It is common for the US government to make a strong “declaration”. The Mexican people, who have a strong antipathy for President Trump, are expecting President Obrador’s strong stance during the election campaign, and cannot rule out the possibility that he will not be able to stay “weak” forever.
It will be interesting to see how President Obrador, who has been given a year’s grace, will behave.